Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 1095.088178 1241.819308 1404.486168 1598.814534 1825.456559 2082.395561 2397.088857
2025-09-14 844.586817 1031.431580 1257.516809 1553.712727 1935.184753 2414.924379 3071.809609
2025-09-21 709.408890 907.407165 1160.610286 1512.718400 1996.953086 2650.299955 3617.241815
2025-09-28 611.223794 810.650598 1077.044515 1465.623568 2029.350466 2835.634714 4110.177584
2025-10-05 566.972734 777.240433 1069.600668 1515.472447 2195.840778 3225.041272 4960.379451
2025-10-12 523.918817 738.868930 1048.252452 1538.794053 2321.554217 3566.758480 5793.888951
2025-10-19 488.327486 706.424455 1030.288273 1562.339360 2447.130160 3922.538036 6713.840300
2025-10-26 457.684946 677.586007 1013.571403 1583.908242 2569.617065 4288.114139 7719.393731
2025-11-02 435.901005 659.766205 1011.307529 1627.309131 2732.912006 4747.470057 8994.514580
2025-11-09 408.683292 630.521286 987.273069 1630.059063 2822.959660 5084.288833 10093.005994
2025-11-16 383.897131 602.840851 962.798080 1628.461269 2903.384687 5413.043256 11243.624356
2025-11-23 363.263829 580.151200 944.356941 1635.026485 2999.107480 5785.779781 12575.861213
2025-11-30 346.161473 562.929825 935.321689 1661.029833 3143.281098 6298.153815 14407.352663
2025-12-07 319.487833 527.158698 890.534570 1614.524177 3134.514026 6481.393278 15478.629269
2025-12-14 296.213009 495.434604 850.077384 1571.571838 3126.429474 6663.288662 16594.189784
2025-12-21 274.424416 464.698844 808.779135 1522.334337 3097.695651 6791.587551 17598.420473
2025-12-28 267.509743 460.435350 816.643128 1574.459590 3302.714074 7525.283353 20596.645236
2026-01-04 257.720308 450.020525 811.682739 1598.851358 3447.261859 8135.671695 23426.818002
2026-01-11 248.684073 440.299032 807.144570 1623.479890 3595.996815 8787.914870 26632.204545
2026-01-18 240.070198 430.715631 801.991246 1646.043637 3743.077465 9467.245651 30196.227259
2026-01-25 234.298122 426.214429 806.711749 1691.453669 3955.538041 10381.838497 35017.713266
2026-02-01 224.843663 413.721177 793.792888 1694.331226 4056.837827 10988.572008 38899.299049
2026-02-08 215.646933 401.114453 779.614084 1692.659274 4145.799096 11578.275015 42982.745377